Pre-tourney Rankings
Umass Lowell
America East
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#257
Expected Predictive Rating-6.0#262
Pace74.9#52
Improvement-0.2#187

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#177
First Shot+0.9#153
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#237
Layup/Dunks-0.1#179
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#85
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#186
Freethrows-0.3#217
Improvement-1.9#272

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#314
First Shot-4.2#300
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#303
Layups/Dunks-7.5#352
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#112
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#58
Freethrows-0.4#207
Improvement+1.7#90
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 20.0 - 2.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 31.0 - 8.01.0 - 11.0
Quad 412.0 - 6.013.0 - 17.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 225   @ Massachusetts L 75-83 32%     0 - 1 -8.8 -6.3 -1.8
  Nov 10, 2018 314   Wagner W 88-84 OT 74%     1 - 1 -8.1 +4.4 -12.9
  Nov 13, 2018 325   @ Central Connecticut St. L 74-86 60%     1 - 2 -20.3 -3.4 -16.8
  Nov 16, 2018 149   @ Brown L 74-82 19%     1 - 3 -4.1 -4.5 +1.7
  Nov 17, 2018 242   Army W 92-85 48%     2 - 3 +2.0 +10.9 -9.5
  Nov 18, 2018 246   Sacred Heart W 94-90 48%     3 - 3 -1.1 +9.8 -11.3
  Nov 25, 2018 160   @ Duquesne L 71-83 22%     3 - 4 -9.3 -8.6 +0.6
  Nov 27, 2018 107   @ Connecticut L 75-97 12%     3 - 5 -14.7 -2.0 -10.6
  Dec 01, 2018 188   NJIT W 94-71 46%     4 - 5 +18.6 +14.7 +2.4
  Dec 04, 2018 240   @ Boston University L 60-79 36%     4 - 6 -20.8 -18.5 -1.5
  Dec 11, 2018 285   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 69-75 45%     4 - 7 -10.2 +1.0 -11.6
  Dec 21, 2018 273   Loyola Maryland W 97-79 64%     5 - 7 +8.8 +7.2 -0.5
  Dec 29, 2018 246   @ Sacred Heart W 100-91 OT 38%     6 - 7 +6.6 +4.7 +0.2
  Jan 05, 2019 166   Stony Brook L 63-75 41%     6 - 8 0 - 1 -15.3 -12.3 -2.2
  Jan 09, 2019 341   @ New Hampshire L 64-68 73%     6 - 9 0 - 2 -15.9 -8.6 -7.4
  Jan 12, 2019 230   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 74-63 55%     7 - 9 1 - 2 +4.3 +3.5 +1.1
  Jan 16, 2019 271   Albany W 84-72 64%     8 - 9 2 - 2 +2.9 +16.8 -12.6
  Jan 19, 2019 193   @ Hartford W 76-73 27%     9 - 9 3 - 2 +3.8 +3.0 +0.9
  Jan 23, 2019 321   @ Binghamton W 85-79 59%     10 - 9 4 - 2 -2.0 +7.1 -9.1
  Jan 30, 2019 333   Maine L 59-78 81%     10 - 10 4 - 3 -34.0 -17.6 -17.2
  Feb 02, 2019 94   Vermont L 65-74 22%     10 - 11 4 - 4 -6.5 -6.6 +0.2
  Feb 06, 2019 341   New Hampshire W 72-62 87%     11 - 11 5 - 4 -7.5 +4.2 -10.5
  Feb 09, 2019 166   @ Stony Brook L 65-76 23%     11 - 12 5 - 5 -8.8 -7.0 -1.1
  Feb 13, 2019 271   @ Albany W 86-54 42%     12 - 12 6 - 5 +28.4 +11.0 +17.0
  Feb 16, 2019 230   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66-70 34%     12 - 13 6 - 6 -5.2 -1.5 -3.8
  Feb 21, 2019 321   Binghamton L 66-81 78%     12 - 14 6 - 7 -28.5 -14.7 -13.7
  Feb 23, 2019 193   Hartford L 73-75 47%     12 - 15 6 - 8 -6.8 +2.1 -9.1
  Feb 27, 2019 333   @ Maine W 70-61 65%     13 - 15 7 - 8 -0.5 +0.9 -0.5
  Mar 05, 2019 94   @ Vermont L 57-74 11%     13 - 16 7 - 9 -8.9 -7.4 -2.6
  Mar 09, 2019 193   @ Hartford L 70-78 27%     13 - 17 -7.2 +2.1 -10.3
Projected Record 13.0 - 17.0 7.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 100.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%